You can't really go by the way things are right now, lobster prices are too unpredictable. Anyone who buys the permit has to take a chance that the lobster industry goes up in the future. No matter what prices are 14,500 is not alot for a permit with 800 tags, its not a bad investment it will always be worth something someday. If prices go back up to 8 dollars a pound in the future you will not even be able to find one of these permits. I bought an area 2 permit 5 years ago with 180 tags and can't say the prices are any better now. The Area 1 permit is worth 14,500.